Goto

Collaborating Authors

 Eastern Province


Follow the Path: Reasoning over Knowledge Graph Paths to Improve LLM Factuality

Zhang, Mike, Bjerva, Johannes, Biswas, Russa

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We introduce fs1, a simple yet effective method that improves the factuality of reasoning traces by sourcing them from large reasoning models (e.g., DeepSeek-R1) and grounding them by conditioning on knowledge graph (KG) paths. We fine-tune eight instruction-tuned Large Language Models (LLMs) on 3.9K factually grounded reasoning traces and rigorously evaluate them on six complex open-domain question-answering (QA) benchmarks encompassing 23.9K questions. Our results demonstrate that our fs1-tuned model (32B parameters) consistently outperforms instruction-tuned counterparts with parallel sampling by 6-14 absolute points (pass@$16$). Our detailed analysis shows that fs1 considerably improves model performance over more complex questions (requiring 3 or more hops on KG paths) and numerical answer types compared to the baselines. Furthermore, in single-pass inference, we notice that smaller LLMs show the most improvements. While prior works demonstrate the effectiveness of reasoning traces primarily in the STEM domains, our work shows strong evidence that anchoring reasoning to factual KG paths is a critical step in transforming LLMs for reliable knowledge-intensive tasks.


Self-Reflective Planning with Knowledge Graphs: Enhancing LLM Reasoning Reliability for Question Answering

Zhu, Jiajun, Liu, Ye, Bao, Meikai, Zhang, Kai, Zhang, Yanghai, Liu, Qi

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recently, large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in natural language processing tasks, yet they remain prone to hallucinations when reasoning with insufficient internal knowledge. While integrating LLMs with knowledge graphs (KGs) provides access to structured, verifiable information, existing approaches often generate incomplete or factually inconsistent reasoning paths. To this end, we propose Self-Reflective Planning (SRP), a framework that synergizes LLMs with KGs through iterative, reference-guided reasoning. Specifically, given a question and topic entities, SRP first searches for references to guide planning and reflection. In the planning process, it checks initial relations and generates a reasoning path. After retrieving knowledge from KGs through a reasoning path, it implements iterative reflection by judging the retrieval result and editing the reasoning path until the answer is correctly retrieved. Extensive experiments on three public datasets demonstrate that SRP surpasses various strong baselines and further underscore its reliable reasoning ability.


Bushfire Severity Modelling and Future Trend Prediction Across Australia: Integrating Remote Sensing and Machine Learning

Partheepan, Shouthiri, Sanati, Farzad, Hassan, Jahan

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Bushfire is one of the major natural disasters that cause huge losses to livelihoods and the environment. Understanding and analyzing the severity of bushfires is crucial for effective management and mitigation strategies, helping to prevent the extensive damage and loss caused by these natural disasters. This study presents an in-depth analysis of bushfire severity in Australia over the last twelve years, combining remote sensing data and machine learning techniques to predict future fire trends. By utilizing Landsat imagery and integrating spectral indices like NDVI, NBR, and Burn Index, along with topographical and climatic factors, we developed a robust predictive model using XGBoost. The model achieved high accuracy, 86.13%, demonstrating its effectiveness in predicting fire severity across diverse Australian ecosystems. By analyzing historical trends and integrating factors such as population density and vegetation cover, we identify areas at high risk of future severe bushfires. Additionally, this research identifies key regions at risk, providing data-driven recommendations for targeted firefighting efforts. The findings contribute valuable insights into fire management strategies, enhancing resilience to future fire events in Australia. Also, we propose future work on developing a UAV-based swarm coordination model to enhance fire prediction in real-time and firefighting capabilities in the most vulnerable regions.


A generalized forecasting solution to enable future insights of COVID-19 at sub-national level resolutions

Marikkar, Umar, Weligampola, Harshana, Perera, Rumali, Hassan, Jameel, Sritharan, Suren, Jayatilaka, Gihan, Godaliyadda, Roshan, Herath, Vijitha, Ekanayake, Parakrama, Ekanayake, Janaka, Rathnayake, Anuruddhika, Dharmaratne, Samath

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

COVID-19 continues to cause a significant impact on public health. To minimize this impact, policy makers undertake containment measures that however, when carried out disproportionately to the actual threat, as a result if errorneous threat assessment, cause undesirable long-term socio-economic complications. In addition, macro-level or national level decision making fails to consider the localized sensitivities in small regions. Hence, the need arises for region-wise threat assessments that provide insights on the behaviour of COVID-19 through time, enabled through accurate forecasts. In this study, a forecasting solution is proposed, to predict daily new cases of COVID-19 in regions small enough where containment measures could be locally implemented, by targeting three main shortcomings that exist in literature; the unreliability of existing data caused by inconsistent testing patterns in smaller regions, weak deploy-ability of forecasting models towards predicting cases in previously unseen regions, and model training biases caused by the imbalanced nature of data in COVID-19 epi-curves. Hence, the contributions of this study are three-fold; an optimized smoothing technique to smoothen less deterministic epi-curves based on epidemiological dynamics of that region, a Long-Short-Term-Memory (LSTM) based forecasting model trained using data from select regions to create a representative and diverse training set that maximizes deploy-ability in regions with lack of historical data, and an adaptive loss function whilst training to mitigate the data imbalances seen in epi-curves. The proposed smoothing technique, the generalized training strategy and the adaptive loss function largely increased the overall accuracy of the forecast, which enables efficient containment measures at a more localized micro-level.